Since the outbreak of the civil war, Assad’s chemical weapons have become the Alawite community’s best insurance policy against the threat to their physical existence and to the survival of the regime.
Therefore, I am skeptical that a Syria ruled by Assad and ever-conscious of the Alawite community’s fragile future is ready to renounce its entire chemical arsenal.
Frankly I can only imagine how much more difficult the job will be in a Middle Eastern country that’s ripping its own guts out while al-Qaeda and Hizbullah are loose and running wild. Color me more than a little bit skeptical
Besides, the timetable of the plan seems completely unrealistic, calling for the destruction of chemical weapons by the first half of 2014. Even with a cease-fire to allow international inspectors to do their work, the process would take (in my evaluation) three to five years.
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